000
WTPZ32 KNHC 242039
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Vance Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
300 PM CST Sat Oct 24 2026
 
...VANCE WEAKENS SOME MORE AS IT CONTINUES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.3N 103.3W
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of Vance. A Tropical Storm Watch may be required for
portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico tonight or on Sunday.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Vance was located
near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 103.3 West. Vance is moving
toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and a slow motion
toward the north-northwest is expected to continue through Monday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected through Sunday 
night. Some re-intensification is possible on Monday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through next Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 4 to 6
inches with isolated higher totals around 10 inches across Colima
and western portions of Michoacán and Jalisco. This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas
along steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast
of southern and southwestern Mexico this weekend and continue into
next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven