000
WTPZ32 KNHC 241453
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Vance Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
900 AM CST Sat Oct 24 2026
 
...VANCE WEAKENS A LITTLE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 103.0W
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the 
progress of Vance. A Tropical Storm Watch may be required for 
portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico later today or tonight.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Vance was located 
near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 103.0 West. Vance is moving 
toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and a slow motion 
toward the north-northwest is expected to continue through the 
weekend.
 
Maximum sustained winds are now near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Gradual weakening is expected through Sunday. Some 
re-intensification will be possible beginning Sunday night or 
Monday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through next Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 3 to 6 
inches with isolated higher totals around 10 inches across Colima 
and western portions of Michoacán and Jalisco. This rainfall may 
produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas 
along steep terrain.

SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast
of southern and southwestern Mexico this weekend and continue into
next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven