000
WTPZ32 KNHC 272050
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number  26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
200 PM MST Tue Oct 27 2026
 
...VANCE HOLDING STEADY OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 108.3W
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern and west-central coasts of Mexico
and the southern Baja California Peninsula should monitor the
progress of Vance.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was
located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 108.3 West. Vance is
moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A gradual turn
toward the north is expected through midweek.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of
days, and Vance could become a post-tropical cyclone during this
time if it is unable to sustain organized convection.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4 
inches of rain across central and southern Sinaloa, western Durango, 
and northwestern Nayarit, with isolated higher totals of 7 inches 
possible over central and southern Sinaloa. This rainfall may 
produce flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep 
terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect coastal portions of
southern, southwestern, and west-central Mexico during the next few
days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Adams