102 
WTPZ32 KNHC 261433
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number  21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
900 AM CST Mon Oct 26 2026
 
...VANCE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND LIKELY TO WEAKEN...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 105.7W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of Vance.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was
located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 105.7 West. Vance is
moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). This motion 
is expected to continue for the next day or so, followed by a turn 
to the northwest on Tuesday and north on Wednesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4
inches of rain, with isolated higher totals of 7 inches possible,
across southern Sinaloa, southwest Durango and coastal sections of
Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima and Michoacan.  This rainfall may produce
flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast of
southern, southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few
days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.
 
$$
Forecaster Hagen