325 
WTPZ32 KNHC 270848
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number  24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
200 AM MST Tue Oct 27 2026
 
...VANCE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 106.9W
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern and west-central coasts of Mexico
and the southern Baja California Peninsula should monitor the
progress of Vance.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was
located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 106.9 West. Vance is
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A northwestward
motion is expected to continue today, followed by a gradual turn
northward on Wednesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected during the next day or so,
followed by gradual weakening.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 200 miles (325 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4
inches of rain across central and southern Sinaloa, western Durango,
and coastal sections of Nayarit and Jalisco, with isolated higher
totals of 7 inches possible over Sinaloa. This rainfall may produce
flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast of
southern, southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few
days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Gibbs