607 
WTPZ32 KNHC 221748
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Polo Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172026
1200 PM CST Tue Sep 22 2026
 
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS POLO EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY OFF THE COAST 
OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.6N 101.6W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...920 MB...27.17 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for
* Tecpan de Galeana to  Punta San Telmo
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
Interests elsewhere along the southwestern Mexico coast should
continue to monitor the progress of this system as additional
watches and warnings could be necessary today.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 PM CST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located
near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 101.6 West.  Polo is nearly 
stationary, but a generally west-northwestward motion is expected 
over the next couple of days.  On the forecast track, the core of 
Polo is expected to be near the coast of southwestern Mexico through 
the middle of this week, although forecast to remain offshore.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 165 mph (270 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Polo is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some additional strengthening is likely 
through tonight, with fluctuations in strength possible Wednesday 
and Wednesday night.  A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 
currently enroute to investigate Polo.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90
miles (150 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 920 mb (27.17 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area along the coast of Mexico by early Wednesday.  Tropical storm
conditions are possible within the watch area along the coast of
Mexico by Thursday.
 
RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 8 inches across coastal
portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacán through
Thursday.  This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and
mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall of 2 to 4
inches is possible in coastal portions of Oaxaca, Colima, and
Jalisco through Thursday.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Polo are expected to affect portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch