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Hurricane Teddy Public Advisory


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606 
WTNT35 KNHC 210539
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Hurricane Teddy Intermediate Advisory Number 35A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL202020
200 AM AST Mon Sep 21 2020

...LARGE HURRICANE TEDDY NOW HEADING NORTH...
...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS FORECAST ALONG WESTERN ATLANTIC BEACHES
FOR SEVERAL DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.7N 63.5W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Canadian Hurricane Centre has extended the Tropical Storm Watch
east from Canso to Main-a-Dieu Nova Scotia.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Lower East Pubnico to Main-a-Dieu Nova Scotia

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the
progress of Teddy.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located
near latitude 29.7 North, longitude 63.5 West. Teddy is moving
toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h). Although some fluctuations in
heading are likely, the hurricane is expected to move generally
northward through Tuesday evening, followed by a turn toward the
northeast on Wednesday. The center of Teddy will pass east of
Bermuda today and then approach Nova Scotia late Tuesday or early
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible Monday night while
Teddy begins to interact with an approaching frontal system.
Although gradual weakening is forecast to begin mid-week, the
cyclone is expected to remain a large and powerful hurricane
Tuesday, then become a strong post-tropical cyclone when it nears
Nova Scotia by Wednesday morning.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230
miles (370 km).  NOAA buoy 41049, located about 150 miles (240 km)
south-southeast of the center of Teddy recently reported sustained
winds of 49 mph (79 km/h) and a gust to 60 mph (97 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to affect Bermuda
into Monday night.  Tropical storm conditions could begin over Nova
Scotia on Tuesday afternoon.

SURF:  Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the
Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast
of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely
to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.

RAINFALL: From Tuesday through Thursday, Teddy is expected to
produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with
isolated totals of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic
Canada.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky