937 
WTPZ25 KNHC 171443
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052025
1500 UTC TUE JUN 17 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  94.1W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  94.1W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  93.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 12.8N  94.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 13.6N  96.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.7N  97.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.0N  98.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.5N 100.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.8N 102.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N  94.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 17/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG