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Tropical Storm Elida Forecast Advisory


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624 
WTPZ25 KNHC 171437
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052026
1500 UTC FRI JUL 17 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 120.8W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 140SE 140SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 300SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 120.8W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 120.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.5N 121.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  60SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.7N 123.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.4N 124.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 22.0N 125.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.1N 126.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 26.0N 127.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 30.4N 128.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 33.5N 130.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 120.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KATZ/CANGIALOSI