000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160830
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052026
0900 UTC THU JUL 16 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 116.5W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 110SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE  75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 116.5W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 115.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.7N 117.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.4N 119.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.3N 121.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.4N 122.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.8N 123.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 21.2N 124.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 24.3N 127.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 26.6N 129.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 116.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)