000
WTPZ25 KNHC 151435
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052026
1500 UTC WED JUL 15 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 113.5W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE  60SE   0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 113.5W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 112.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.5N 115.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.9N 117.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.4N 119.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.1N 121.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.2N 122.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.5N 124.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 22.0N 126.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 24.5N 129.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 113.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN/KATZ