100 
WTPZ25 KNHC 152038
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052026
2100 UTC WED JUL 15 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 114.6W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE  90SE   0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 114.6W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 114.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.8N 116.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.3N 118.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.0N 119.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.9N 121.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 19.0N 122.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  80SW  95NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.2N 124.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 22.8N 126.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 25.4N 129.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 114.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KATZ/PAPIN