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Hurricane Douglas Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 240847
TCMEP3

HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082020
0900 UTC FRI JUL 24 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DOUGLAS. WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED ON FRIDAY FOR A PORTION OF THE
AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 140.3W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 140.3W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 139.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.7N 142.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.9N 145.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.0N 148.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.9N 151.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.5N 154.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.0N 157.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 22.0N 163.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 22.4N 170.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 140.3W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE 
FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE 
CENTER BEGINNING AT 1500 UTC...UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP2...WMO 
HEADER WTPA22 PHFO. 

$$
FORECASTER LATTO