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Tropical Storm Kiko Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 220237
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132019
0300 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 132.5W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE  20SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  15SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 132.5W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 132.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.8N 133.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.0N 134.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.8N 135.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.5N 136.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.8N 138.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.2N 139.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.1N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 132.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG