000
WTPZ22 KNHC 260235
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222026
0300 UTC MON OCT 26 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 104.7W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 104.7W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 104.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.3N 105.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.7N 106.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.5N 106.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.4N 107.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.5N 107.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N 107.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 22.0N 107.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 24.0N 107.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 104.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KATZ