000
WTPZ22 KNHC 210241
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
0300 UTC MON SEP 21 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.6W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  75 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE  60SE  45SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.6W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.4N 103.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.4N 103.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.2N 102.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.5N 102.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.0N 103.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.7N 103.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 18.2N 106.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 104.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN