000
WTPZ22 KNHC 221453
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 101.6W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  920 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 101.6W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 101.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.0N 101.5W
MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  50SE  45SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.4N 101.9W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.1N 102.8W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.7N 104.2W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.1N 105.9W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.3N 107.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.4N 110.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.8N 112.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 101.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 22/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH