000
WTPZ22 KNHC 250855
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
0900 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.5W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  929 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.5W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 107.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.3N 108.9W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.6N 110.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.5N 112.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.0N 113.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 21.7N 113.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 23.3N 113.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 26.4N 111.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 29.0N 107.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 107.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN