000
WTPZ22 KNHC 270230
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222026
0300 UTC TUE OCT 27 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.3W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
4 M SEAS....135NE  90SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.3W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 106.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.9N 107.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.2N 107.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N 108.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.5N 108.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.0N 108.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.5N 107.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 106.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KATZ/CANGIALOSI