000
WTPZ22 KNHC 260836
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222026
0900 UTC MON OCT 26 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.1W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....165NE 105SE 150SW 165NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.1W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 104.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.6N 105.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.1N 106.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.2N 107.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.9N 108.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.4N 108.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 23.2N 107.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 24.5N 108.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 105.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH