000
WTPZ22 KNHC 241452
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222026
1500 UTC SAT OCT 24 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 103.0W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 210SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 103.0W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 102.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 13.6N 103.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.6N 103.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.5N 104.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.0N 104.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.3N 104.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.7N 104.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 17.7N 104.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 18.7N 104.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 103.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN