046 
WTPZ22 KNHC 280235
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072026
0300 UTC TUE JUL 28 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 114.6W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  939 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 114.6W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 114.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.8N 115.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.4N 117.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.9N 119.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.5N 120.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 21.1N 125.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 22.6N 130.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 24.1N 135.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  30SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 114.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY