000
WTPZ21 KNHC 012030
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 129.9W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE 100SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 180SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 129.9W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 129.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.4N 131.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.9N 133.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.3N 135.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.7N 137.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 138.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.3N 140.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 21.6N 143.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.6N 146.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 129.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI