503 
WTPZ21 KNHC 281443
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 115.0W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 115.0W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 114.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 14.1N 116.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 15.6N 117.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.7N 119.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.6N 121.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 18.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 18.3N 124.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 19.1N 127.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 20.2N 130.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 115.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE