000
WTPZ21 KNHC 272044
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 111.9W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......180NE   0SE   0SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 180SE 240SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 111.9W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 111.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 12.2N 113.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...220NE  40SE  30SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.5N 114.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...230NE  70SE  30SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.9N 116.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...220NE  90SE  40SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.2N 118.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE  90SE  50SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.4N 119.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...190NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.1N 121.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  70SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 18.6N 124.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 19.4N 127.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 111.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER EVANS/PIERCE/ZELINSKY