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Tropical Depression Twenty-two Forecast Advisory


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285 
WTNT22 KNHC 180836
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL222020
0900 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020

INTERESTS ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  94.1W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  94.1W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  94.2W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.7N  93.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.9N  93.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 25.7N  93.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.9N  93.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.0N  94.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.3N  95.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 26.7N  96.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 27.5N  96.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N  94.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY