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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory


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356 
WTNT22 KNHC 210851
TCMAT2

HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL272020
0900 UTC WED OCT 21 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  58.3W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......380NE  80SE  50SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..750NE 390SE 510SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  58.3W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  57.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.5N  59.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...310NE 100SE  70SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 30.4N  60.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...250NE 140SE  90SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.8N  61.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE  90SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 33.1N  61.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.3N  61.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...210NE 160SE 110SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 35.8N  61.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...230NE 180SE 140SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 40.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 46.0N  39.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N  58.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG