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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory


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714 
WTNT22 KNHC 220847
TCMAT2

HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL272020
0900 UTC THU OCT 22 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  60.9W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......270NE 200SE 120SW 270NW.
12 FT SEAS..660NE 540SE 570SW 540NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  60.9W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  60.5W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.6N  61.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...220NE 210SE 130SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 33.0N  61.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 130SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.7N  61.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 140SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 36.6N  61.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  40SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...260NE 250SE 160SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 38.7N  59.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  70NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 200SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 41.6N  54.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...270NE 280SE 250SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 50.0N  36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 60.0N  22.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N  60.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 22/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG