WTPZ45 KNHC 220856
Tropical Depression Lorena Discussion Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152019
300 AM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019
Very little convection remains with Lorena, with only a small burst
near the center. Strong southwesterly shear continues to weaken
Lorena, and ASCAT data indicate the maximum winds are down to 30
kt. All watches and warnings have been discontinued on this
advisory. Lorena is forecast to move northward across northwestern
Mexico later this morning and rapidly dissipate within 24 hours
over the high terrain. There are no significant changes to the track
or intensity forecasts.
1. Lorena may produce dangerous flash flooding in Sonora today.
Moisture associated with Lorena may also result in locally heavy
rain over parts of Arizona early in the week. There is a slight Risk
of excessive rainfall over central Arizona on Monday.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 22/0900Z 28.3N 111.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 22/1800Z 29.7N 111.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND