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Remnants of Roslyn Forecast Discussion

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WTPZ44 KNHC 240237

Remnants Of Roslyn Discussion Number  17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192022
1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 23 2022

Surface observations and satellite images indicate that the 
low-level circulation of Roslyn has dissipated over east-central 
Mexico.  The system is now primarily a lower-tropospheric vorticity 
maximum, which should continue to weaken overnight and ultimately 
be absorbed into a frontal boundary over Texas tomorrow.

Roslyn's remnants are moving quickly northeastward, at about 040/19 
kt.  This general motion should continue into early Monday.  
Although a 12-hour forecast position is provided for continuity, it 
is likely that the system will have lost its identity by that time. 

This is the last advisory on Roslyn.

Key Messages:

1. Lingering heavy rainfall from the remnants of Roslyn could lead 
to flash flooding and possible landslides in areas of rugged 
terrain over coastal west-central Mexico.


INIT  24/0300Z 26.0N 101.0W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  24/1200Z 28.0N  99.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

Forecaster Pasch