000
WTPZ44 KNHC 030232
TCDEP4
 
Tropical Storm Douglas Discussion Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042026
800 PM PDT Thu Jul 02 2026
 
Convection associated with Douglas is fading as the cyclone 
encounters cooler waters.  It also appears like the low- and 
mid-level centers are also becoming misaligned due to increasing 
shear.  While satellite intensity estimates still support keeping 
Douglas a tropical storm, it is likely to weaken overnight due to 
its passage over cooler waters into a less conducive environment.  
All guidance show a gradual decrease in winds, and so does the 
official forecast.  Douglas should transition into a 
deep-convection-free remnant low early tomorrow, as shown by the 
global models and the latest NHC forecast. 
 
The initial motion remains north-northwestward, and this 
approximate track should continue overnight with a gradual leftward 
bend on Friday as the weakening cyclone is steered more by the 
low-level flow.  Models are in general agreement on this evolution, 
though the Google DeepMind tracker lies a fair distance northeast 
of most of the rest of the guidance.  The new NHC forecast track is 
close to the previous one, but adjusted a little to the right out 
of deference for the Google DeepMind solution.

 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  03/0300Z 18.8N 127.6W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  03/1200Z 19.7N 127.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  04/0000Z 20.7N 128.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  04/1200Z 21.7N 129.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  05/0000Z 22.5N 130.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  05/1200Z 23.4N 131.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  06/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Blake