670 
WTPZ43 KNHC 110231
TCDEP3
 
Tropical Storm Cosme Discussion Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032025
800 PM MST Tue Jun 10 2025

Cosme is quickly on the path to becoming a remnant low.  Satellite 
images show that the low- and mid-level centers have separated, 
with the low-level circulation well northeast of the mid-level one 
now.  Dvorak intensity estimates continue to fall, and the initial 
intensity is set to 40 kt.  Further weakening is anticipated due to 
persistent shear, cool waters and dry air entrainment.  Cosme 
should transition into a remnant low on Wednesday morning and 
totally dissipate in a couple of days.  

The storm has taken its long-awaited turn, now moving slowly to the 
north-northeast. Cosme, or what's left of it, should move a 
little faster to the north late Wednesday and then dissipate into a 
trough of low pressure due to unfavorable environmental conditions. 
No significant changes were made to the track or intensity 
forecasts.  
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  11/0300Z 15.9N 114.9W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  11/1200Z 16.4N 114.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  12/0000Z 17.3N 114.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  12/1200Z 18.4N 114.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  13/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Blake