Tropical Storm Cosme Forecast Discussion
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670 WTPZ43 KNHC 110231 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Cosme Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032025 800 PM MST Tue Jun 10 2025 Cosme is quickly on the path to becoming a remnant low. Satellite images show that the low- and mid-level centers have separated, with the low-level circulation well northeast of the mid-level one now. Dvorak intensity estimates continue to fall, and the initial intensity is set to 40 kt. Further weakening is anticipated due to persistent shear, cool waters and dry air entrainment. Cosme should transition into a remnant low on Wednesday morning and totally dissipate in a couple of days. The storm has taken its long-awaited turn, now moving slowly to the north-northeast. Cosme, or what's left of it, should move a little faster to the north late Wednesday and then dissipate into a trough of low pressure due to unfavorable environmental conditions. No significant changes were made to the track or intensity forecasts. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0300Z 15.9N 114.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 11/1200Z 16.4N 114.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 12/0000Z 17.3N 114.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 12/1200Z 18.4N 114.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake