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Tropical Storm Cristina Forecast Discussion


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000
WTPZ43 KNHC 081745
TCDEP3
 
Tropical Storm Cristina Special Discussion Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032026
1200 PM CST Mon Jun 08 2026
 
Recent scatterometer data has revealed reliable surface winds up to 
tropical-storm-strength.  Therefore, a special advisory has been 
issued upgrading Tropical Depression Three-E to Tropical Storm 
Cristina with an initial intensity of 40 kt.  The tropical 
storm radii forecast has been adjusted accordingly as well.  

Cristina continues to move along the eastern side of the model 
guidance.  Should the tropical storm maintain a northward 
trajectory for longer than expected, it could bring 
tropical-storm-force winds to the Central American coast sooner 
than previously anticipated.
 
This special advisory is being released in lieu of the 1800 UTC 
intermediate advisory.
 
Key Messages:
 
1. Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Depression Three-E will
impact coastal portions of Central America through Thursday. This
rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides,
especially in areas of steep terrain.
 
2. Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast of
Nicaragua, El Salvador, and Honduras as early as this evening.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  08/1800Z 11.7N  87.7W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  09/0000Z 11.9N  87.7W   45 KT  50 MPH
 24H  09/1200Z 12.2N  88.0W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  10/0000Z 12.4N  88.4W   45 KT  50 MPH
 48H  10/1200Z 12.7N  89.0W   50 KT  60 MPH
 60H  11/0000Z 13.1N  89.8W   50 KT  60 MPH
 72H  11/1200Z 14.0N  90.8W   45 KT  50 MPH
 96H  12/1200Z 16.1N  92.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Bucci