000
WTPZ43 KNHC 150837
TCDEP3
 
Tropical Depression Hernan Discussion Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP082026
1100 PM HST Fri Aug 14 2026

Hernan is currently a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds with no 
active convection. A recent ASCAT overpass showed winds of 25-27 kt 
in the northwestern quadrant, and based on this and the possibility 
of undersampling the initial intensity is held at a possibly 
generous 30 kt. Unless convection makes a significant re-appearance, 
the cyclone is expected to degenerate to a remnant low within the 
next 12 h. The new forecast calls for the remnant low to decay to a 
trough by 72 h in agreement with the global models.

The initial motion is 275/11 kt. A low- to mid-level ridge to the 
north should steer Hernan and its remnants westward for the next 
few days. The new forecast track is similar to, but a little faster 
than, the previous track.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  15/0900Z 16.4N 133.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  15/1800Z 16.5N 135.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  16/0600Z 16.6N 137.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  16/1800Z 16.7N 139.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  17/0600Z 16.8N 141.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  17/1800Z 16.8N 143.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  18/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Beven