501 
WTPZ41 KNHC 072035
TCDEP1
 
Tropical Depression Amanda Discussion Number  21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012026
1100 AM HST Sun Jun 07 2026
 
This morning's impressive burst of deep convection near Amanda's 
surface center has quickly dissipated during the past few hours, and 
a couple of small cells in the NW portion of the circulation are all 
that remains of its cloud pattern.  The initial intensity is 
generously held at 30 kt for this advisory.  Persistent 
east-southeasterly shear and a dry mid-level tropospheric 
environment should cause a gradual spin-down throughout the period, 
regardless of whether the cyclone remains over warm waters.  The 
warm ocean, on the other hand, will likely contribute to Amanda 
producing intermittent bursts of convection over the next few hours, 
but will lack sufficient organized convection.  Therefore, Amanda 
should degenerate into a post-tropical remnant low later tonight.
 
Amanda's initial motion is estimated to be west-southwestward, 245/4 
kt, and this general motion is expected to continue until the 
remnants of the cyclone dissipate toward the end of the week.  The 
NHC forecast lies near the latest Google DeepMind ensemble mean, the 
ECMWF/GFS blend, and the HCCA multi-model corrected consensus.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  07/2100Z 11.3N 135.7W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  08/0600Z 11.1N 136.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  08/1800Z 10.8N 137.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  09/0600Z 10.5N 138.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  09/1800Z 10.2N 139.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  10/0600Z 10.0N 140.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  10/1800Z  9.7N 141.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  11/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Roberts