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Post-Tropical Cyclone Priscilla Forecast Discussion


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681 
WTPZ41 KNHC 102033
TCDEP1
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Priscilla Discussion Number  25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162025
200 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025
 
Priscilla has lacked organized deep convection for much of the day,
and visible satellite images and ASCAT data show that the low-level
circulation is gradually losing definition.  Since deep convection
is not expected to return, Priscilla is now designated a remnant
low and this is the last NHC advisory.  The initial intensity is 
lowered to 30 kt based on the ASCAT data.
 
The system is moving northward at 5 kt, and that motion should
continue until the system dissipates by early Saturday.
 
Even though Priscilla is no longer a tropical cyclone, its remnant 
moisture is expected to continue to spread across portions of the 
western United States.  Heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely 
to continue over parts of central Arizona and southwest Utah, with 
scattered areas of flash flooding possible across the remainder of 
Arizona, southern Utah, southwestern Colorado, and far northwestern 
New Mexico.  Please monitor forecasts and updates from local 
National Weather Service offices in the southwest U.S. at 
weather.gov and from the Weather Prediction Center at 
wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  10/2100Z 26.3N 115.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  11/0600Z 26.8N 115.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  11/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi