WTNT45 KNHC 252038
Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry Discussion Number 34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102019
500 PM AST Wed Sep 25 2019
Multiple scatterometer passes over Jerry indicate that the cyclone
no longer has sustained tropical-storm-force winds. Therefore
Jerry is now a remnant low, and the Bermuda Weather Service has
discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Bermuda. However, wind
gusts to tropical storm force are still possible on the island
during the next few hours, especially at elevated observing sites.
Based on the scatterometer data, the current intensity is estimated
to be 30 kt. The low-cloud swirl is becoming less well-defined, and
since the system will continue moving through a hostile environment
of strong shear and dry mid-level air, steady weakening is likely.
The cyclone should dissipate in 2-3 days. The NHC intensity
forecast is close to the latest intensity model consensus.
The system is moving east-northeastward at a slightly faster clip,
or 070/10 kt. A gradual turn to the east and east-southeast is
forecast as the cyclone moves along the southern edge of the band of
mid-latitude westerlies, and then turns to the right along the
northeastern periphery of a subtropical anticyclone before
This is the last advisory on Jerry.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 25/2100Z 32.2N 65.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 26/0600Z 32.8N 63.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 26/1800Z 33.7N 61.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 27/0600Z 34.7N 59.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 27/1800Z 35.0N 56.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW