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Remnants of Fifteen Forecast Discussion


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000
WTNT45 KNHC 160833
TCDAT5

Remnants Of Fifteen Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152019
500 AM AST Wed Oct 16 2019

Satellite images indicate that the surface circulation of the
system has become rather elongated north-to-south, with only a few
weak swirls in the circulation envelope, and has degenerated into a
trough of low pressure.  Thus it is no longer a tropical cyclone,
and this is the last advisory.  The winds are lowered to 25 kt,
matching the TAFB classification.

The remnants of the cyclone are expected to move northwestward
during the next few days.  There is a slight chance of
regeneration, as suggested by the ECMWF model and some of its
ensemble members due to a trough interaction, but that's considered
unlikely at this point.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  16/0900Z 17.3N  24.1W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  16/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake