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Tropical Storm Edouard Forecast Discussion


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000
WTNT45 KNHC 012037
TCDAT5
 
Tropical Storm Edouard Discussion Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052026
400 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026
 
Edouard continued to strengthen through its landfall as a 50-kt 
tropical storm in southwestern Cameron Parish, Louisiana, at 1920 
UTC. Current radar data shows convective bands with heavy rainfall 
and gusty winds spreading over portions of southeastern Texas on the 
west side of the storm. Based on the latest surface observations, it 
appears a little weakening has occurred since landfall, and the 
initial intensity is lowered slightly to 45 kt. A Tropical Storm 
Warning remains in effect for portions of the Upper Texas coast and 
southwestern Louisiana.
 
Edouard is moving toward the northwest (305/7 kt) and will remain on 
this heading through early Wednesday, bringing the center farther 
inland over eastern Texas. No notable changes were made to the NHC 
track forecast. Quick weakening is expected now that the center is 
inland, and Edouard is likely to become a tropical depression 
tonight and dissipate by Wednesday night. Even though the system is 
inland, the threat of heavy rainfall and flash flooding will 
continue through the overnight hours.
 
 
Key Messages:
 
1. Tropical storm conditions associated with Edouard will continue 
along the Upper Texas and extreme southwestern Louisiana coasts 
within the warning area through this evening.
 
2.  Heavy rain will impact parts of the Upper Texas coast through 
east-central Texas into far Southwest Louisiana through Thursday 
morning as Edouard tracks inland. Flash flooding is likely across 
this region, especially in urban areas. Significant flash flooding 
is possible. River flooding may also be possible.

3.  Minor coastal flooding is still possible along the Upper Texas 
and southwestern Louisiana coasts through this evening.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  01/2100Z 29.9N  94.0W   45 KT  50 MPH...INLAND
 12H  02/0600Z 30.7N  94.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 24H  02/1800Z 31.6N  95.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  03/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Reinhart