WTNT42 KNHC 252036
Tropical Storm Epsilon Discussion Number 28
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020
900 PM GMT Sun Oct 25 2020
Epsilon is nearly extratropical, with late morning scatterometer
data showing that the circulation has become stretched out as the
cyclone interacts with a high-latitude low pressure system and an
associated mid- upper-level trough to its north. The main reason
that the cyclone is still classifiable as a tropical cyclone is
persistent deep convection very near the center of circulation.
Based on the scatterometer data showing an area of peak winds of
56 kt, the initial intensity is being lowered to 60 kt.
What remains of the trapped tropical airmass near the center of the
cyclone supporting the deep convection should mix out over the next
few hours, as Epsilon moves over cold waters of about 15 degrees C
and continues to wrap cooler and stable air into its circulation.
The post-tropical cyclone will remain large and powerful until it is
absorbed by another large extratropical low over the north Atlantic
in about 24-36 h.
Epsilon is racing east-northeastward at around 40 kt, embedded
within the mid-latitude westerlies. A fast east-northeastward or
northeastward motion is expected to continue until the system gets
absorbed by the aforementioned high-latitude low pressure system.
The latest NHC forecast track is essentially an update of the
previous one and remains in the middle of the tightly clustered
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 25/2100Z 46.2N 44.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 26/0600Z 49.4N 35.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 26/1800Z 54.4N 26.2W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP