Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Forecast Discussion
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000 WTNT41 KNHC 222037 TCDAT1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 Fay remains mainly comprised of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds, although a few isolated patches of convection are occuring in the eastern semicircle. There has been no organized convection for more than 18 h, and based on this it appears than Fay has degenerated to a remnant low pressure area. There is a possibility of convective bursts occuring during the next few days. However, the cyclone will be embedded in a dry air mass with strong upper-level convergence, and these factors should keep organized convection from re-developing. The system is moving west-southwestward, or 240/8 kt, as it rounds the eastern periphery of a low- to mid-level ridge to its west and northwest. A turn toward the west is expected over the next day or two as the ridge strengthens and builds eastward to the north of Fay. A turn toward the west-northwest could occur before the remnant low dissipates between 96-120 h. This is the last advisory issued on Fay by the National Hurricane Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 30.8N 35.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 23/0600Z 30.2N 36.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 23/1800Z 29.8N 38.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 24/0600Z 29.6N 40.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 24/1800Z 29.6N 42.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 25/0600Z 29.6N 43.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 25/1800Z 29.6N 44.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 26/1800Z 30.0N 46.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven