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Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Forecast Discussion


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000
WTNT41 KNHC 222037
TCDAT1
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Discussion Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
900 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026

Fay remains mainly comprised of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds, 
although a few isolated patches of convection are occuring in the 
eastern semicircle. There has been no organized convection for more 
than 18 h, and based on this it appears than Fay has degenerated to 
a remnant low pressure area. There is a possibility of convective 
bursts occuring during the next few days. However, the cyclone will 
be embedded in a dry air mass with strong upper-level convergence, 
and these factors should keep organized convection from 
re-developing.
 
The system is moving west-southwestward, or 240/8 kt, as it rounds 
the eastern periphery of a low- to mid-level ridge to its west and 
northwest. A turn toward the west is expected over the next day or 
two as the ridge strengthens and builds eastward to the north of 
Fay. A turn toward the west-northwest could occur before the remnant 
low dissipates between 96-120 h.

This is the last advisory issued on Fay by the National Hurricane 
Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High 
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS 
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  22/2100Z 30.8N  35.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  23/0600Z 30.2N  36.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  23/1800Z 29.8N  38.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  24/0600Z 29.6N  40.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  24/1800Z 29.6N  42.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  25/0600Z 29.6N  43.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  25/1800Z 29.6N  44.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  26/1800Z 30.0N  46.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  27/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Beven