987 
FOPZ15 KNHC 182033
PWSEP5
                                                                    
HURRICANE ERICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052025               
2100 UTC WED JUN 18 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
L CARDENAS     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
15N 100W       34  2   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ACAPULCO       34  2  28(30)   3(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
ACAPULCO       50  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
ACAPULCO       64  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
P MALDONADO    34 30  63(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
P MALDONADO    50  2  51(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
P MALDONADO    64  X  27(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
P ANGEL        34 97   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
P ANGEL        50 16   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
P ANGEL        64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
HUATULCO       34 72   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 
15N 95W        34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HAGEN