000
FOPZ14 KNHC 122044
PWSEP4
                                                                    
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR-E                                   
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1                                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042025               
2100 UTC THU JUN 12 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                     
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 105W       34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  34(42)  10(52)   X(52)   X(52)
15N 105W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   6(14)   X(14)   X(14)
15N 105W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
15N 100W       34  X   4( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ACAPULCO       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
P MALDONADO    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 110W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
20N 110W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)   X(16)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KELLY