721 
FOPZ12 KNHC 230834
PWSEP2
                                                                    
HURRICANE POLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026               
0900 UTC WED SEP 23 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE POLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 135  
KTS...155 MPH...250 KM/H.                                           
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)
 
15N 105W       34  X   2( 2)  22(24)   2(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
15N 105W       50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
15N 105W       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
L CARDENAS     34  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 100W       34 20   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
15N 110W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   2(13)   X(13)
15N 110W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
15N 110W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
20N 110W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  12(18)   2(20)
20N 110W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
20N 110W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  45(45)  26(71)   1(72)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  22(37)   X(37)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  14(20)   1(21)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  21(23)   5(28)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)  13(37)
20N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   5(13)
20N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)
25N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
25N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI