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Hurricane Kiko Wind Speed Probabilities


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029 
FOPZ11 KNHC 060832
PWSEP1
                                                                    
HURRICANE KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112025               
0900 UTC SAT SEP 06 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120  
KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.                                           
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 140W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
15N 140W       50 87   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
15N 140W       64 48   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 
15N 145W       34  X   4( 4)   9(13)   3(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
20N 145W       34  X   1( 1)  12(13)  20(33)   4(37)   X(37)   X(37)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  79(87)   1(88)   X(88)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  56(57)   1(58)   X(58)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  34(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
25N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)
 
20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  67(71)   2(73)   X(73)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  32(32)   2(34)   X(34)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   1(16)   X(16)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   8(20)   X(20)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)   X(11)
 
BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)
 
21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   1(15)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)
 
21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   X(12)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)
 
26N 159W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
25N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)
25N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
NIHOA          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
BUOY 51101     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)