000
FONT15 KNHC 311455
PWSAT5
                                                                    
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052026               
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE WAS LOCATED  
NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                     
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GFAM 280N 910W 34 30   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
GFAM 280N 930W 34  4  15(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CAMERON LA     34  X  24(24)  10(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
CAMERON LA     50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
JASPER TX      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   7( 7)  19(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFAM 280N 950W 34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   3( 3)   8(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER REINHART