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Hurricane Zeta Wind Speed Probabilities


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337 
FONT13 KNHC 281449
PWSAT3

HURRICANE ZETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL282020               
1500 UTC WED OCT 28 2020                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ZETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS
...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)  14(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)  20(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   X( X)  15(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)  22(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

CHARLOTTESVIL  34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)  20(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

DANVILLE VA    34  X   X( X)  22(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)  14(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)  13(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)  23(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)  13(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   2( 2)  14(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

COLUMBIA SC    34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ATLANTA GA     34  X  57(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
ATLANTA GA     50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

AUGUSTA GA     34  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

WAYCROSS GA    34  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34  2   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

ST MARKS FL    34  1   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

APALACHICOLA   34  4   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

GFMX 290N 850W 34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PANAMA CITY FL 34  5  10(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

DESTIN EXEC AP 34  7  42(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)

COLUMBUS GA    34  1  53(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
COLUMBUS GA    50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BIRMINGHAM AL  34  2  47(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)

MONTGOMERY AL  34  4  84(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
MONTGOMERY AL  50  X  27(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
MONTGOMERY AL  64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

WHITING FLD FL 34 11  66(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
WHITING FLD FL 50  1   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

PENSACOLA FL   34 16  61(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
PENSACOLA FL   50  1   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GFMX 290N 870W 34 15  11(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)

MOBILE AL      34 72  26(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
MOBILE AL      50  3  59(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
MOBILE AL      64  X   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

GULFPORT MS    34 96   4(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GULFPORT MS    50 52  28(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
GULFPORT MS    64  7  19(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)

STENNIS MS     34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
STENNIS MS     50 77   6(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
STENNIS MS     64 19   6(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)

BURAS LA       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BURAS LA       50 86   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
BURAS LA       64 23   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

GFMX 280N 890W 34 83   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

JACKSON MS     34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34 97   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 58   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

GFMX 280N 910W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
GFMX 280N 910W 64 17   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

BATON ROUGE LA 34 27   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

MORGAN CITY LA 34 52   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GFMX 280N 930W 34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LAKE CHARLES   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAMERON LA     34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GALVESTON TX   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PENSACOLA NAS  34 30  47(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
PENSACOLA NAS  50  2   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

KEESLER AB     34 94   6(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
KEESLER AB     50 41  40(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
KEESLER AB     64  4  17(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH