000
FONT13 KNHC 280856
PWSAT3
                                                                    
HURRICANE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025               
0900 UTC TUE OCT 28 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
150 KTS...175 MPH...280 KM/H.                                       
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  23(27)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   6(13)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  64(64)  11(75)   X(75)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  27(27)  10(37)   X(37)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   5(14)   X(14)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
ANDROS         34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   4( 4)  35(39)  13(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   9( 9)  10(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   2( 2)  30(32)  43(75)   1(76)   X(76)   X(76)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   4( 4)  43(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)  26(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   4( 4)  50(54)  27(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   6( 6)  23(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  14(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  2   5( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  3  59(62)  12(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50  X   5( 5)  10(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MONTEGO BAY    50 90   4(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
MONTEGO BAY    64 60  13(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 
KINGSTON       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
KINGSTON       50 26   9(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
KINGSTON       64  7   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
LES CAYES      34  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   4( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER REINHART