557 
FONT12 KNHC 030245
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  39         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023               
0300 UTC TUE OCT 03 2023                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  22(23)   6(29)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

SAINT THOMAS   34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAINT JOHN     34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAINT CROIX    34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT MAARTEN  34 33  26(59)   1(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
SAINT MAARTEN  50  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SABA           34 18   8(26)   X(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

ST EUSTATIUS   34 31   5(36)   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 40   2(42)   X(42)   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)

BARBUDA        34 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ANTIGUA        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

GUADELOUPE     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH