000
FONT12 KNHC 210838
PWSAT2
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022026               
0900 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFAM 290N 870W 34 72  18(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
GFAM 290N 870W 50 23  10(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
GFAM 290N 870W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
STENNIS MS     34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BURAS LA       34  X   2( 2)  16(18)   6(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
GFAM 280N 890W 34  X   6( 6)  11(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
HOUMA LA       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GFAM 280N 910W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   4(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFAM 280N 930W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAMERON LA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   1(16)   X(16)
CAMERON LA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JASPER TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)   X(12)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFAM 280N 950W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PAPIN